Day 2

Categorical Day 1 Outlook

Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.

Probability of one inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of two inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point.

Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.

000
ACUS01 KWNS 230042
SWODY1
SPC AC 230040

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0740 PM CDT Wed Mar 22 2023

Valid 230100Z - 231200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM
CENTRAL/NORTHERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST IOWA INTO NORTHERN/CENTRAL
INDIANA...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms -- capable of large hail --
are possible from central/northern Missouri and southern Iowa
eastward to northern Indiana.

...Synopsis...
Weak convection has started to develop across portions of northern
Missouri, southern Iowa and western Illinois this evening. This
convection will expand in coverage and intensity over the next 1 to
2 hours. See Mesoscale Discussion 308 for additional details about
this evolving threat.

..Bentley.. 03/23/2023

$$
        

Day 3

Day 4