Day 2

Categorical Day 1 Outlook

Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.

Probability of one inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of two inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point.

Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.

000
ACUS01 KWNS 251613
SWODY1
SPC AC 251612

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1012 AM CST Tue Jan 25 2022

Valid 251630Z - 261200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated weak thunderstorms are expected across portions of central
and southern Florida tonight/early Wednesday.

...FL overnight...
A weakening midlevel shortwave trough will move eastward along the
northern Gulf coast to north FL/south GA overnight.  An associated
surface cyclone will likewise tend to weaken later today into
tonight as the shortwave trough moves away from the surface warm
sector.  There will be some moistening/destabilization above the
surface across parts of south/central FL tonight as the modifying
warm sector develops northward to the east of the weakening cyclone.
As such, a few elevated thunderstorms will be possible from about
06-12z.  The surface-based convection across the eastern Gulf could
approach the western Keys tonight.

..Thompson.. 01/25/2022

$$
        

Day 3

Day 4