Day 2

Categorical Day 1 Outlook

Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.

Probability of one inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of two inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point.

Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.

000
ACUS01 KWNS 160044
SWODY1
SPC AC 160042

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0642 PM CST Fri Jan 15 2021

Valid 160100Z - 161200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected tonight.

...Synopsis...
A deep closed low will continue to move eastward over the OH Valley.
Low-topped convection with the cold core low has diminished with the
loss of surface heating.  Otherwise, a modifying low-level air mass
and associated weak buoyancy will remain largely off the Atlantic
coast, which suggests no appreciable threat for thunderstorms across
the CONUS through the remainder of tonight.

..Darrow.. 01/16/2021

$$
        

Day 3

Day 4