Day 2

Categorical Day 1 Outlook

Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.

Probability of one inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of two inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point.

Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.

000
ACUS01 KWNS 180050
SWODY1
SPC AC 180049

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0749 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019

Valid 180100Z - 181200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...

...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe storms capable of mainly large hail remain possible
over the central and southern High Plains. A few strong storms are
also possible through evening from Ohio and Tennessee eastward to
the Delmarva.

...Central and southern High Plains...
Numerous strong storms persist from western NE southward toward the
Big Bend. Several cells contain severe hail, and may also produce
localized wind damage. Given weak winds aloft, the storms are not
moving very quickly, and are likely to remain in a relatively narrow
north-south corridor. One exception may be this evening into west
TX, where southeasterly 850 mb winds will increase to 25-30 kt, and
may support areas of propagating storms later tonight. For more
information see mesoscale discussion 1109.

...Mid Atlantic...
Clusters of cells persist from northern VA into MD and DE, but are
gradually dwindling in intensity as the air mass overturns. A storm
or two may yet produce marginally severe hail or wind, but the
threat will continue to decrease with the loss of heating. For more
information see mesoscale discussion 1110.

..Jewell.. 06/18/2019

$$
        

Day 3

Day 4